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Red84
22630.1
432711.3
755826.0
Blue87
239921.4
317522.9
283219.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707140506080908487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
30.10.5
28.328.8
Auto12.1
Teleop16.1
End2.0
red by 7.2
3175
#17
22.90.5
22.823.4
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Second
26.00.5
24.124.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End2.4
red by 4.6
2399
#10
21.40.5
21.321.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
4327
#19
11.30.5
10.811.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End0.2
blue by 8.0
2832
#13
19.30.5
19.319.8
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End2.4