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Red25
285121.8
2808.5
69149.5
Blue35
24715.8
71915.7
97365.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33331020304050602535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.82.8
13.110.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
red by 6.0
247
#16
15.80.6
11.311.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Second
6914
#17
9.52.8
9.97.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End1.6
red by 3.8
7191
#26
5.70.6
9.510.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Third
280
#35
8.52.8
7.24.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.8
End0.9
red by 3.1
9736
#30DQ
5.35.9
3.89.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed