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Red63
360424.6
83625.7
102526.7
Blue4
54986.9
55557.6
97444.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4136010203050607080634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.73.0
14.017.0
Auto12.5
Teleop11.6
End2.7
red by 19.2
5555
#38
7.63.2
10.57.2
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Second
24.63.0
16.819.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End2.4
red by 17.7
5498
#29
6.93.2
12.79.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop5.6
End1.7
Third
8362
#20
5.73.0
5.38.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End0.5
red by 0.8
9744
#39
4.93.2
10.06.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed