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Red40
505015.7
505312.4
92559.0
Blue44
506717.1
86239.4
543628.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47391020306070804044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.71.3
16.214.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
blue by 13.0
28.70.9
14.515.4
Auto12.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Second
5053
#18
12.41.3
13.111.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 4.7
5067
#13
17.10.9
12.613.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Third
9255
#34
9.01.3
12.210.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End0.7
blue by 0.4
8623
#23
9.40.9
9.09.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed