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Red13
52633.2
54986.9
69149.5
Blue22
81518.6
56198.9
2808.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27281520253035401322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6914
#17
9.51.3
7.15.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 9.1
815
#3
18.60.9
13.612.7
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
Second
5498
#29
6.91.3
9.48.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop5.6
End1.7
blue by 1.9
5619
#22
8.90.9
7.16.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Third
5263
#27
3.21.3
8.26.9
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 5.3
280
#35
8.50.9
4.43.5
Auto1.8
Teleop5.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed