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Red39
118918.7
505312.4
86239.4
Blue48
102526.7
505015.7
309610.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395102060803948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#11
18.70.3
15.015.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 8.1
26.70.3
17.017.3
Auto12.5
Teleop11.6
End2.7
Second
5053
#18
12.40.3
11.812.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 3.3
15.70.3
14.915.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Third
8623
#23
9.40.3
9.910.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 0.7
3096
#28
10.10.3
13.113.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned