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Red11
55557.6
97365.3
97476.3
Blue37
652819.5
92268.8
97444.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252801020405060701137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#38
7.61.4
7.25.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
blue by 12.0
19.51.3
10.511.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Second
9747
#24
6.31.4
6.45.0
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 2.5
9226
#32
8.81.3
8.19.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End0.0
Third
9736
#30
5.31.4
9.78.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 0.4
9744
#39
4.91.3
6.78.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed