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Red64
505312.4
652819.5
102526.7
Blue9
2808.5
56955.5
97476.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5013020406080649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.3
17.319.6
Auto12.5
Teleop11.6
End2.7
red by 18.3
280
#35
8.50.8
3.52.6
Auto1.8
Teleop5.8
End0.9
Second
19.52.3
11.814.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
red by 13.2
9747
#24
6.30.8
5.04.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Third
5053
#18
12.42.3
12.114.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 6.8
5695
#31
5.50.8
8.17.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed