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Red44
81244.9
52633.2
717425.1
Blue35
54986.9
309610.1
918215.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354320304050604435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.7
22.323.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 9.5
9182
#19
15.60.9
16.615.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Second
8124
#37
4.90.7
3.74.4
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.6
blue by 5.1
3096
#28
10.10.9
13.512.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
5263
#27
3.21.2
6.98.1
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 3.8
5498
#29
6.90.9
8.17.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop5.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed