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Red34
60298.5
24715.8
569710.5
Blue47
118918.7
97365.3
97444.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273601020405060703447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#16
15.80.4
13.113.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 2.9
1189
#11
18.71.7
15.216.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Second
5697
#21
10.50.2
7.37.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 5.1
9736
#30
5.31.7
8.310.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
6029
#25
8.50.4
5.35.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.8
red by 3.6
9744
#39
4.91.7
8.09.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed