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Red32
81518.6
285121.8
71915.7
Blue78
543628.7
360424.6
56198.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34510204060801001203278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.1
11.811.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
blue by 6.9
28.73.8
18.522.3
Auto12.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Second
815
#3
18.60.1
12.712.6
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
blue by 6.0
24.63.8
19.122.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End2.4
Third
7191
#26
5.70.1
8.48.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 3.1
5619
#22
8.93.8
6.210.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed