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Red43
52633.2
505015.7
60298.5
Blue7
2808.5
97444.9
309610.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322701020405060437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.71.2
14.913.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
red by 5.6
3096
#28
10.12.0
12.610.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Second
6029
#25
8.51.2
5.74.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Level
280
#35
8.52.0
2.60.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.8
End0.9
Third
5263
#27
3.21.2
8.16.9
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 1.7
9744
#39
4.92.0
9.77.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed