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Red41
360424.6
71915.7
81244.9
Blue31
56955.5
24715.8
102526.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3846102030506070804131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.6
22.923.5
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End2.4
blue by 2.1
26.71.0
19.618.6
Auto12.5
Teleop11.6
End2.7
Second
7191
#26
5.70.6
8.38.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 10.1
247
#16
15.81.0
13.512.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
8124
#37
4.90.4
4.44.8
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.6
blue by 0.6
5695
#31
5.51.0
7.26.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed