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Red31
92268.8
92559.0
285121.8
Blue55
97476.3
569710.5
81518.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39250102030506070803155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.5
11.711.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
red by 3.2
815
#3
18.63.4
12.616.0
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
Second
9255
#34
9.00.5
10.710.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End0.7
blue by 1.5
5697
#21
10.52.0
7.59.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
9226
#32
8.80.5
10.810.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End0.0
red by 2.5
9747
#24
6.33.4
4.27.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed