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Red51
506717.1
652819.5
56198.9
Blue67
556717.9
118918.7
262016.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39471020305060705167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.6
14.114.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
red by 0.9
1189
#11
18.72.3
16.919.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Second
5067
#13
17.10.6
11.812.4
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 0.8
17.92.3
11.714.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Third
5619
#22
8.90.6
10.010.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 7.4
2620
#15
16.32.3
12.715.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed