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Red54
918215.6
661825.1
86239.4
Blue51
509021.8
842617.2
55557.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543901001502005451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#10
25.10.5
21.021.4
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End2.6
red by 3.3
5090
#12
21.81.5
15.817.3
Auto11.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
9182
#19
15.60.8
15.716.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 1.7
8426
#36
17.21.5
14.215.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Third
8623
#23
9.40.8
10.311.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.0
red by 1.8
5555
#38
7.61.5
7.38.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed