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Red34
81244.9
92268.8
842617.2
Blue50
52633.2
505312.4
285121.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39361020305060703450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8426
#36
17.20.9
19.418.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End1.1
blue by 4.6
21.80.3
14.914.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
Second
9226
#32
8.80.9
9.18.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5053
#18
12.40.3
13.513.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
8124
#37
4.90.5
6.35.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.6
red by 1.8
5263
#27
3.20.3
4.23.9
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed