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Red17
83625.7
60298.5
56198.9
Blue80
81518.6
505015.7
24715.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165004060801001780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5619
#22
8.90.2
9.18.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 9.8
815
#3
18.60.5
16.316.8
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
Second
6029
#25
8.50.2
4.34.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.8
blue by 7.3
247
#16
15.80.5
13.413.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
8362
#20
5.70.2
5.45.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 10.0
15.70.5
11.111.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned