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Red40
97365.3
661825.1
81518.6
Blue24
24715.8
83625.7
81244.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5623040801004024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#10
25.10.8
22.721.9
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End2.6
red by 9.3
247
#16
15.80.1
13.913.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Second
815
#3
18.61.3
16.815.5
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
red by 12.9
8362
#20
5.70.1
5.25.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Third
9736
#30
5.31.3
6.95.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 0.4
8124
#37
4.90.1
5.75.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed