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Red62
262016.3
102526.7
86239.4
Blue24
97476.3
556717.9
52633.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542304060801006224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.8
23.325.1
Auto12.5
Teleop11.6
End2.7
red by 8.8
17.90.6
14.914.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Second
2620
#15
16.31.8
12.914.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End2.1
red by 10.0
9747
#24
6.30.6
6.15.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Third
8623
#23
9.41.8
8.610.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.0
red by 6.2
5263
#27
3.20.7
3.93.2
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed