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Red55
360424.6
81518.6
509021.8
Blue21
309610.1
505312.4
97365.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions712104060801001205521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.3
23.122.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End2.4
red by 12.2
5053
#18
12.40.4
10.910.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Second
5090
#12
21.80.3
19.319.1
Auto11.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 11.7
3096
#28
10.10.4
8.27.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
815
#3
18.60.3
15.515.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
red by 13.3
9736
#30
5.30.4
5.75.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed