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Red29
69149.5
56198.9
81244.9
Blue47
97476.3
543628.7
118918.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1661040801002947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6914
#17
9.50.2
5.55.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 19.2
28.70.3
26.426.1
Auto12.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Second
5619
#22
8.90.2
8.99.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 9.8
1189
#11
18.70.3
18.318.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
8124
#37
4.90.1
5.75.8
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.6
blue by 1.4
9747
#24
6.30.3
5.55.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed