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Red21
60298.5
86239.4
97476.3
Blue53
71915.7
543628.7
83625.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204404060802153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8623
#23
9.40.2
10.410.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 19.3
28.70.8
26.126.9
Auto12.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Second
6029
#25
8.50.2
5.04.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.8
red by 2.8
7191
#26
5.70.9
5.86.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Third
9747
#24
6.30.1
5.25.0
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.2
red by 0.6
8362
#20
5.70.8
5.05.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed