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Red62
92559.0
118918.7
360424.6
Blue27
97365.3
52633.2
842617.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592602040801006227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.3
22.823.1
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End2.4
red by 7.3
8426
#36
17.20.0
18.418.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Second
1189
#11
18.70.3
18.018.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 13.3
9736
#30
5.30.0
5.35.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
9255
#34
9.00.3
8.79.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End0.7
red by 5.8
5263
#27
3.20.0
3.63.6
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed