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Red64
652819.5
81518.6
69149.5
Blue25
505015.7
81244.9
569710.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423202060806425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.52.4
16.318.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
red by 3.9
15.70.5
14.413.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Second
815
#3
18.62.6
15.217.8
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
red by 8.1
5697
#21
10.50.3
10.19.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
6914
#17
9.52.4
5.78.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End1.6
red by 4.6
8124
#37
4.90.3
5.85.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed