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Red44
54986.9
24715.8
652819.5
Blue35
842617.2
69149.5
92559.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33450102040506070804435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.51.4
10.311.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
red by 2.3
8426
#36
17.21.0
15.014.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Second
247
#16
15.81.4
9.911.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
red by 6.3
6914
#17
9.51.0
10.99.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
5498
#29
6.91.4
11.312.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop5.6
End1.7
blue by 2.0
9255
#34
9.01.0
13.212.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed