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Red30
102526.7
55557.6
52633.2
Blue43
569710.5
262016.3
505312.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38352530404550553043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.4
14.514.0
Auto12.5
Teleop11.6
End2.7
red by 10.5
2620
#15
16.30.7
13.614.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Second
5555
#38
7.60.4
10.910.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
blue by 4.8
5053
#18
12.40.7
12.413.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
5263
#27
3.20.4
8.68.2
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 7.3
5697
#21
10.50.4
5.96.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed