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Red54
309610.1
118918.7
81518.6
Blue4
92268.8
97485.2
56955.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41270102030506070544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#11
18.72.0
12.915.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 9.8
9226
#32
8.82.4
10.58.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End0.0
Second
815
#3
18.62.0
11.513.6
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
red by 13.1
5695
#31
5.52.4
9.67.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Third
3096
#28
10.12.0
11.113.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 4.9
9748
#33DQ
5.22.4
5.73.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed