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Red48
509021.8
97444.9
60298.5
Blue82
102526.7
717425.1
285121.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2379040601001201404882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#12
21.81.8
19.120.8
Auto11.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
blue by 4.9
26.71.5
24.926.4
Auto12.5
Teleop11.6
End2.7
Second
6029
#25
8.51.8
4.96.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.8
blue by 16.6
25.11.1
23.224.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Third
9744
#39
4.91.8
4.05.8
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.1
blue by 16.9
21.81.5
16.618.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed