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Red47
97365.3
81244.9
543628.7
Blue59
69149.5
505015.7
506717.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414402060801001201404759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.6
26.927.5
Auto12.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 11.6
5067
#13
17.10.2
17.617.4
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Second
9736
#30
5.30.7
5.35.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 10.3
15.70.2
13.913.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Third
8124
#37
4.90.5
5.56.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.6
blue by 4.6
6914
#17
9.50.2
8.07.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned