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Red10
71915.7
56198.9
52633.2
Blue32
97485.2
55557.6
652819.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183504060801032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5619
#22
8.90.7
9.18.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 10.7
19.50.2
18.718.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Second
7191
#26
5.70.7
5.85.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 1.9
5555
#38
7.60.2
6.76.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Third
5263
#27
3.20.8
3.62.8
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 2.0
9748
#33
5.20.2
4.14.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed