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Red64
509021.8
102526.7
118918.7
Blue44
569710.5
842617.2
2808.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions773102040601001206444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.0
26.426.4
Auto12.5
Teleop11.6
End2.7
red by 9.5
8426
#36
17.20.4
17.017.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Second
5090
#12
21.80.0
20.820.8
Auto11.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 11.3
5697
#21
10.50.3
9.710.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
1189
#11
18.70.0
16.916.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 10.2
280
#35
8.50.4
7.27.6
Auto1.8
Teleop5.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed