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Red43
55557.6
81518.6
60298.5
Blue21
97476.3
506717.1
54986.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36330102040506070804321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#3
18.60.7
17.818.5
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
red by 1.5
5067
#13
17.10.7
17.416.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Second
6029
#25
8.50.6
7.78.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.8
red by 1.6
5498
#29
6.90.7
5.85.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop5.6
End1.7
Third
5555
#38
7.60.6
6.97.6
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
red by 1.3
9747
#24
6.30.7
7.06.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed