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Red56
102526.7
56198.9
569710.5
Blue39
83625.7
717425.1
92559.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5043203040607080905639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.5
26.426.8
Auto12.5
Teleop11.6
End2.7
red by 1.6
25.10.1
25.325.2
Auto9.0
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Second
5697
#21
10.50.4
10.010.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 1.5
9255
#34
9.00.1
9.09.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Third
5619
#22
8.90.5
8.48.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.1
red by 3.2
8362
#20
5.70.1
5.85.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed