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Red50
543628.7
52633.2
24715.8
Blue48
505312.4
97485.2
509021.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533902060805048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.3
27.527.8
Auto12.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 6.9
5090
#12
21.80.8
20.821.7
Auto11.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
247
#16
15.80.3
15.615.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
red by 3.4
5053
#18
12.40.8
11.512.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
5263
#27
3.20.3
2.83.2
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 2.0
9748
#33
5.20.8
4.35.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed