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Red45
56955.5
360424.6
309610.1
Blue53
71915.7
652819.5
262016.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464430405060704553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.6
24.323.7
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End2.4
red by 5.0
19.50.6
18.919.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Second
3096
#28
10.10.6
10.710.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 6.2
2620
#15
16.30.6
15.716.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Third
5695
#31
5.50.7
6.25.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 0.2
7191
#26
5.70.6
5.15.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed