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Red44
262016.3
918215.6
24715.8
Blue45
285121.8
652819.5
505312.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52612040801001204445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#15
16.30.1
16.416.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 5.5
21.80.2
21.821.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
Second
247
#16
15.80.1
16.015.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 3.7
19.50.2
19.619.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Third
9182
#19
15.60.1
15.715.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 3.2
5053
#18
12.40.2
12.412.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.6