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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8087607010011012082106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#22
27.70.6
23.724.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
blue by 8.0
33
#6
35.81.9
31.833.6
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Second
1023
#14
25.30.6
29.930.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
blue by 8.7
818
#1
34.01.9
24.126.0
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
Third
3618
#33
21.40.6
19.820.3
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End2.9
blue by 3.2
815
#21
24.51.9
22.224.1
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed