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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110220406012014016018065103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.0
33.532.4
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
blue by 6.1
43.10.6
35.536.1
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
Second
244
#26
25.71.0
26.825.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 6.5
32.20.6
34.835.4
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
Third
9618
#39
13.51.0
15.414.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 5.0
9558
#25
18.50.6
19.219.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed