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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90860501502002506791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#32
26.90.9
28.927.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 6.0
32.90.9
28.829.7
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
Second
2337
#23
25.60.9
29.828.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 7.0
1250
#10
32.60.9
30.531.4
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End3.5
Third
4422
#27
19.50.9
22.421.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
blue by 1.5
2771
#15
21.00.9
18.819.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned