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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75101501506682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#11
30.90.7
29.629.0
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End3.1
blue by 4.8
33
#6
35.80.4
33.633.2
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Second
7226
#19
28.70.7
26.625.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
blue by 3.5
32.20.4
35.434.9
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
Third
8424
#34
12.50.7
14.614.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 7.8
5577
#29
20.40.4
19.519.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed