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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728302040601001201406775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.0
22.422.4
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
blue by 0.5
1076
#18
31.10.1
30.130.2
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Second
244
#26
25.70.0
24.924.9
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 2.1
7056
#16
27.70.1
31.431.5
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Third
3618
#33
21.40.0
19.519.5
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End2.9
red by 7.0
2224
#38
14.40.1
12.312.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed