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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67802040601001201408998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
33.01.7
27.729.4
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End2.5
blue by 4.0
37.01.8
34.135.9
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Second
8612
#30
23.71.7
20.021.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
blue by 0.9
815
#21
24.51.8
23.525.3
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Third
8280
#40
14.41.7
14.315.9
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 2.6
6538
#28
17.01.8
13.315.1
Auto9.5
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsMissed