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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751065015071107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#10
32.60.7
31.430.7
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End3.5
blue by 0.3
32.90.7
29.729.0
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
Second
6615
#35
26.80.7
24.223.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
blue by 1.9
7226
#19
28.70.7
25.925.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Third
6078
#24
20.60.7
16.015.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
blue by 6.3
5907
#17
26.90.7
36.936.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned55%Ensemble oddsEarned