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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947720406012014016010353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.2
36.938.1
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
red by 12.1
1076
#18
31.11.6
30.228.6
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Second
33
#6
35.81.2
33.234.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
red by 10.2
2337
#23
25.61.6
28.827.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
9618
#39
13.51.2
12.713.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 2.9
4453
#31
10.61.6
12.811.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed