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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96670204060801201408352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.0
34.934.9
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
red by 5.1
3414
#13
27.00.8
23.422.6
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
Second
3641
#11
30.90.0
29.028.9
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End3.1
red by 10.3
6120
#37
20.60.8
19.318.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
Third
2771
#15
21.00.0
19.619.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
red by 1.5
4422
#27
19.50.8
21.420.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed