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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788705010015010498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#1
34.00.7
26.827.5
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
blue by 9.1
43.10.7
41.542.2
Auto15.6
Teleop22.9
End4.6
Second
3534
#22
27.70.7
26.026.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
blue by 2.8
30.60.7
22.423.1
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
Third
5577
#29
20.40.7
19.119.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 7.8
8424
#34
12.50.7
14.014.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned