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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88896070801001109756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.1
35.336.4
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
red by 12.0
7056
#16
27.71.6
31.529.9
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Second
7226
#19
28.71.1
25.226.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 1.9
6615
#35
26.81.6
23.521.9
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
Third
9558
#25
18.51.1
19.820.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 6.0
815
#21
24.51.6
25.323.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned44%Ensemble oddsMissed