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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4211801001502004185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#36
17.90.4
18.418.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 19.1
37.00.8
35.935.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Second
8280
#40
14.40.4
15.915.6
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 21.4
33
#6
35.80.8
34.433.6
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Third
2224
#38
14.40.4
12.412.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 11.2
2337
#23
25.60.8
27.226.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned