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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708702040601001201401606974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4998
#20
30.30.5
28.928.3
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End2.5
blue by 2.6
32.90.2
29.028.8
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
Second
244
#26
25.70.5
24.924.4
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 5.3
3641
#11
30.90.2
28.928.8
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End3.1
Third
4453
#31
10.60.5
11.210.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 10.0
6120
#37
20.60.2
18.518.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned49%Ensemble oddsMissed